Broker Opinion of Value

2929 Pico Boulevard

59-Unit Plan Set in PlanningState Density Bonus
Six-story, 59-unit mixed-use development site with 8,633 SF of ground-floor commercial: 15,226 SF corner lot at Pico Blvd & Dorchester Ave · Santa Monica, CA 90405
Prepared for: Redhill LLC Prepared by: The LAAA Team · Marcus & Millichap October 21, 2026
Rendering of the proposed six-story mixed-use building at Pico Blvd and Dorchester Ave

Executive Summary

A Designed Project, Not a Raw Lot
59 units and 8,633 SF of retail, six stories, under State Density Bonus Law
Aero Collective's plan set is in its fourth planning resubmittal with the City of Santa Monica. It takes a 39-unit by-right base to 59 units with a 50% density bonus, three incentives and three waivers, and the plan set lists the CEQA path as ministerial.

2929 Pico Boulevard is a 15,226 SF corner parcel at Pico Boulevard and Dorchester Avenue in Santa Monica's Neighborhood Commercial (NC) district, improved today with a 1,224 SF one-story auto repair building from 1959. The owner has carried the site through design and planning review for a six-story, 65 foot, 45,701 SF mixed-use building: 59 apartments (53 market rate and 6 affordable) over 8,633 SF of ground-floor commercial in three spaces, with 34 parking spaces at grade and on one subterranean level.

The buyer here is a developer who wants a Santa Monica project already drawn, with the density bonus math, waivers and unit plans done. We recommend a list price of $6,000,000, which is $101,695 per planned unit and $394.06 per land SF. We recommend pairing the price with flexible terms, including a longer escrow that lets a buyer close against planning approval.

Lot
15,226 SF
0.35 acres, corner
Zoning
NC
Neighborhood Commercial
Planned Units
59
53 market, 6 affordable
Commercial
8,633 SF
Three ground-floor spaces
Building
45,701 SF
6 stories, 65 ft, 3.02 FAR
List Price
$6,000,000
$394.06 per land SF
Per Unit
$101,695
At list, on 59 planned units

Subject Property

Rendering of the Pico Boulevard elevation
The Pico Boulevard elevation from the plan set: three storefronts at grade, five residential floors above.
Address2929 Pico Blvd, Santa Monica, CA 90405 (corner of Dorchester Ave)
APN4274-032-025
LegalLots 299 through 304, Tract 7933: one parcel of six tied lots
Lot Size15,226 SF per the Assessor (0.35 acres); the plan set's survey shows 15,121 SF gross and 15,077 SF net after a 4 foot dedication
ZoningNC, Neighborhood Commercial · General Plan: Neighborhood Commercial, Pico Boulevard
Existing Improvements1,224 SF one-story auto repair building (1959), to be demolished
Rent ControlExempt per the plan set: commercial use, no protected units
OwnershipRedhill LLC, purchased April 2016 for $5,385,000
TransitWithin half a mile of a major transit stop per the plan set, so no parking is required; 1.2 mi to the 17th St/SMC E Line station
Location0.9 mi to Santa Monica College, about 2 mi to the ocean at Pico Blvd

The site has about 152 feet of frontage on Pico Boulevard and 100 feet on Dorchester Avenue, with an alley on the third side. The existing building is a placeholder: it is assessed at a few thousand dollars and the plan set demolishes it in full.

The Plans

The plan set is Aero Collective project #22011, prepared for Redhill LLC and in its fourth planning resubmittal (draft dated April 2026). It is privately funded with no tax credits. The figures below come from the plan set's project information and density bonus sheets.

Rendering of the Dorchester Ave side
Dorchester Avenue side and the residential entry
Rendering of the ground-floor storefronts
Ground-floor commercial storefronts on Pico

Program

ItemBy-Right BaseProposed Project
Residential units3959
Affordable units66 (15% of base: 2 VLI, 2 LI, 2 Moderate)
Ground-floor commercial8,633 SF8,633 SF
Total floor area33,137 SF45,701 SF
FAR2.19 (2.25 max)3.02
Height / stories42'6" / 465'0" / 6
Parking34 (28 residential, 6 commercial)

Unit Mix (Proposed)

TypeMarketAffordableTotalAvg SF
Studio34337397
One bedroom, one bath19322662
Total53659496
ConstructionType V residential over a Type IA concrete podium and one level of subterranean parking, fully sprinklered
AmenitiesSecond-floor terrace, sixth-floor community room and deck, gym, parcel room, resident and commercial bike rooms
Open Space5,362 SF private (balconies) and 3,812 SF common
ArchitectAero Collective, Inglewood · Plan set #22011
Night rendering of the Pico Boulevard elevation

Renderings and program from the owner's plan set (planning resubmittal, not for construction). The project is not approved; unit count, floor area and parking can change through the City's review.

Entitlement Path

The project uses State Density Bonus Law (Gov. Code 65915): setting aside 15% of the 39 base units as affordable earns a 50% bonus, or 20 more units, plus incentives and waivers that make the bonus units physically fit. The plan set documents each one.

Base Project
By-Right NC
39 units, 4 stories
  • 2.25 FAR and 50 foot height limit in the NC district.
  • 33,137 SF: 8,633 SF commercial and 39 units.
  • Sets the base for the bonus math.
Units39
FAR2.19
Three Waivers
Fit the Bonus Units
Floor area, height, loading
  • Floor area: 45,701 SF in place of 34,022 SF; without it the project loses 20 units.
  • Height: 65 feet in place of 50 feet; without it the project loses 23 units.
  • Loading: a passenger loading space in place of a standard bay, saving 2 units.
FAR3.02
Height65 ft, 6 stories
Three Incentives
Cost Reductions
Supporting the affordable units
  • Affordable studios at 397 SF in place of the 500 SF minimum.
  • Zero alley setback in place of 10 feet, which makes room for commercial parking.
  • Affordable studios up to 50% of the affordable units, so three affordable one-bedrooms convert to market rate.
Units59
CEQAMinisterial (per plans)
Status: the plan set is a planning resubmittal draft, not an approval. A buyer should confirm the application's status, open City comments and any conditions with the City of Santa Monica Planning Division, and confirm the affordable unit income split (the project sheet and the density bonus sheet describe it differently).

Land Sales Comparables

Santa Monica development land trades rarely. The two closed sales and three active listings below frame the market; they come from our June 2026 analysis of this site.

#AddressZoningLot SFPrice$/Land SFStatus
S2929 Pico Blvd (subject, at list price)NC15,226$6,000,000$394.06Proposed
11501-1511 Wilshire BlvdMUB / R232,670$7,990,000$244.57Apr 2026
21546 9th St (permitted, 9 units)R37,405$2,600,000$351.11Dec 2025
Closed average$297.84
33018-3026 Pico BlvdCommercial17,550$10,000,000$569.80Active
42307 Lincoln Blvd (entitled, 85 units)Commercial11,309$6,200,000$548.24Active
51420 20th StCommercial14,810$7,995,000$540.00Active

Closed prices are recorded sales; active prices are asking prices as of June 2026 and have not been tested by a sale. 1501-1511 Wilshire closed 31% below its $11,500,000 ask. 1546 9th St was a Marcus & Millichap sale.

At $394.06 per land SF the list price sits above both closed sales and well below the active asks. The subject carries what neither closed comp had: a drawn 59-unit mixed-use project with retail, already through several rounds of City review.

Key Takeaways

1
The design work is done. A full plan set (architecture, landscape, unit plans, renderings and the density bonus exhibits) is in its fourth planning resubmittal, which saves a buyer the design and early review time.
2
Density bonus takes 39 units to 59. Six affordable units unlock 20 bonus units, a 65 foot height and a 3.02 FAR, with each waiver tied to the units it saves.
3
Retail adds a second income line. 8,633 SF of ground-floor commercial in three spaces on Pico Boulevard, with its own parking.
4
A clean site. One small commercial building, no rent-controlled units to replace and no tenant relocation.
5
$101,695 per planned unit in Santa Monica. Priced on what a developer can build, with room in the terms to close against approval.

Pricing Recommendation

Recommended List Price
$6,000,000
$101,695 per unit on the 59-unit plan · $394.06 per land SF on 15,226 SF · $131.29 per buildable SF on 45,701 SF
Per Land SF
$394.06
Closed comps $244.57 to $351.11
Per Planned Unit
$101,695
59 units, 53 market rate
Per Buildable SF
$131.29
45,701 SF proposed
2016 Purchase
$5,385,000
List is 11.4% above

The list price is set above both closed Santa Monica land sales and well under the asking prices on the market, which have not traded. The premium over the closed sales comes from the plans: a buyer gets a 59-unit, six-story mixed-use design already in City review instead of a lot to design from scratch. The price holds at our June 2026 recommendation of $6,000,000. Flexible terms, including a longer escrow to let a buyer close against planning approval, widen the pool to developers who need entitlement certainty before they commit capital.

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